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1 month 3 weeks ago #783 by liny195
liny195 created the topic: /www.theseahawksfanshop.com/
For the third time this season Ed Dickson Color Rush Jersey , a Seattle Seahawk has taken home an NFC player of the week award. Sebastian Janikowski follows Frank Clark (Week 6) and Michael Dickson (Week 8) as Seahawks to win the honors in 2018, after a three field goal performance in Seattle’s win over the Carolina Panthers.It was a relatively easy performance from Janikowski, who at his peak, had perhaps the strongest leg the league’s ever seen. The 40-year-old went 3/3 in the Seahawks’ win, connecting from 33, 30 and 31 yards, the last of which was a last-second winner. Janikowski also hit all three extra points he attempted on the day. Following his game-winning performance on Sunday, Janikowski was complementary of the situation he was put into to close the game:As John Boyle pointed out, this is the eighth time Janikowski has won a Special Teams Player of the Week award Jaron Brown Color Rush Jersey , with his first coming 18 (!) years ago. After struggling early, Janikowski has become supremely reliable for Seattle, hitting all 33 extra points he’s attempted on the year, and missing just four of 19 field goal attempts. Monday I looked at third and manageable and how often the Seattle Seahawks found themselves in reasonable third downs, as opposed to third and long. There has been significant backlash towards the run game since the Seahawks dropped the Wild Card playoff game to the Dallas Cowboys, giving Russell Wilson his first ever postseason losing streak, having lost in the Divisional Round of the 2016 NFC Playoffs. In the comments to that article the idea of run-run was presented yet again as able to generate third and manageable, as one reader posted the following comment.Here’s the thing, though Tre Flowers Color Rush Jersey , running on both first and second down is more likely to lead to third and long than it is to lead to third and manageable. Wait, what? Well, I won’t bore you all with the math, but here’s a super simple table that breaks down the expected yards on a first down run (left side of the table) and the expected yards on a second down run (top of the table). In short, if a team calls a run play on first and second down, it will result in one of four things: 3rd & 7+3rd & 4-63rd & 1-3 ora First Down.The red area of the table is third and long. The yellow area is a third and medium. The blue part is third and short. And the green is a first down and the offense gets to start over. Obviously, those numbers in the table are really small, and the table formatter here is far from perfect, so here’s a summary of what the expected outcome will likely be based on these probabilities. 3rd & Long (7+): 24.88%3rd & Intermediate (4-6): 22.64%3rd & Short (1-3): 18.28%First Down Attained: 34.20%Basically David Moore Color Rush Jersey , the most common outcome of a first down run followed by a second down run is gaining a first down. However, the second most probably outcome is third and long. Third and long is actually more likely to happen than third and intermediate or third and short, amd that's before even taking penalties into consideration.Now, this is simply a single piece of the puzzle, so throughout the offseason I'll be adding to the discussion through similar posts. Thus, by the time Training Camp opens in six months we should have the entire book of probability out there, which would allow someone to build a model based on the combination of all the various probability trees that are available.

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